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  • Why TBA?
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    • Daniel P. Rodan – Sr. Portfolio Mgr.
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Market Commentary

October 4, 2021 – A tough September is not a harbinger of what’s to come. The Delta variant is fading, and interest rates are not likely to rise as fast as they did in September. Inflation concerns remain. However, that should mute future upside. Higher earnings, on the other hand, will mute the downside.

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

Stocks rallied at the end of a dismal September. While growth in September deteriorated a bit thanks to the persistence of the Delta variant of Covid-19, stocks fell due to a combination of issues, a slowdown in growth being just one. Interest rates rose, the Fed hinted at tapering bond purchases before year end, and …

October 4, 2021 – A tough September is not a harbinger of what’s to come. The Delta variant is fading, and interest rates are not likely to rise as fast as they did in September. Inflation concerns remain. However, that should mute future upside. Higher earnings, on the other hand, will mute the downside.Read More

October 1, 2021 – Concerns, they are aplenty. Markets ended September on a sour note, as major averages tested last week’s spike lows. The key to the next 5% move revolves around equities holding near current support levels. Near-term headwinds are compounding, pointing to more downside risk. Rest assured, this bull market is not over yet.

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

Another quarter is in the books as we enter October which historically has been a favorable seasonal time to be invested. This is especially true in years where stock market returns are already generous. History says we should expect a solid finish for 2021. Even after a nearly 5% drop across the board in September, …

October 1, 2021 – Concerns, they are aplenty. Markets ended September on a sour note, as major averages tested last week’s spike lows. The key to the next 5% move revolves around equities holding near current support levels. Near-term headwinds are compounding, pointing to more downside risk. Rest assured, this bull market is not over yet.Read More

June 18, 2021-Fed announcements usually take a few days before the market figures out what they really said. This time is no different as rates initially spiked but made a 180 degree turn yesterday. Winners and losers in the stock market also flip-flopped. What to do now?

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

Market participants, in both stocks and bonds, waited with bated breath for the conclusion to the 2-day Federal Reserve Meeting. After two straight months of worrisome inflationary data, lower than expected employment reports and a continued rise in consumer spending, many were frightened at the prospect of the Federal Reserve changing their stance and pulling …

June 18, 2021-Fed announcements usually take a few days before the market figures out what they really said. This time is no different as rates initially spiked but made a 180 degree turn yesterday. Winners and losers in the stock market also flip-flopped. What to do now?Read More

May 21, 2021 – After a 3-week hiatus, buyers came rushing back to the markets. Technology stocks rebounded the most, coinciding with a slight reversal in interest rates. Taper talk is coming, and we examine what that means for markets from here.

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

After three straight days of losses in the overall market, bargain hunters stepped up to the plate yesterday with technology stocks leading the charge higher. The Nasdaq bounced back 1.8%, pointing towards hope of at least a short-term bottom after another mini-correction. The Dow closed up 0.5% and the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index gained …

May 21, 2021 – After a 3-week hiatus, buyers came rushing back to the markets. Technology stocks rebounded the most, coinciding with a slight reversal in interest rates. Taper talk is coming, and we examine what that means for markets from here.Read More

February 22, 2021 – The biggest factor this morning is the ongoing rise in 10-year bond yields. Higher yields mean lower P/Es for stocks. They impact growth stocks more than value names. As the economy recovers in a rising rate environment, watch for better relative performance from value sectors and a sharp headwind to excessive speculative activity.

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

Last week was highlighted by a continued move higher for long-term bond yields, a modest correction among high flying tech stocks, and ongoing volatility in the speculative fringes of the stock market. The short squeeze targets like GameStop continued to move back down in the direction of fair value, while SPACs continued to raise billions …

February 22, 2021 – The biggest factor this morning is the ongoing rise in 10-year bond yields. Higher yields mean lower P/Es for stocks. They impact growth stocks more than value names. As the economy recovers in a rising rate environment, watch for better relative performance from value sectors and a sharp headwind to excessive speculative activity.Read More

November 22, 2021 – Record highs in the stock market masked an overall deterioration as slowing growth and rising costs impact more companies. While some of the pressures may be peaking or have already peaked, the clear sailing witnessed last spring is unlikely to return.

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

Lockdowns in Austria sent the Dow and S&P 500 lower on Friday although the NASDAQ continued to rise. Interest rates remained within a tight range. While stocks continue to rise, look at the chart below. It is a chart of the Russell 3000, perhaps the market’s broadest relevant index containing, as the name implies, 3,000 …

November 22, 2021 – Record highs in the stock market masked an overall deterioration as slowing growth and rising costs impact more companies. While some of the pressures may be peaking or have already peaked, the clear sailing witnessed last spring is unlikely to return.Read More

November 17, 2021- It’s amazing how well corporations have navigated a minefield littered with disease, shortages, and rising inflation. The ability to pivot quickly is the hallmark of good leadership.

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

Stocks continued to move higher yesterday. The Dow was aided by a strong performance by Home Depot# after it reported better than expected earnings. Indeed, the theme this earnings season is the skill demonstrated by corporations in managing through a minefield created by Covid-19’s Delta variant, massive political uncertainty, supply chain disruptions, and sharply rising …

November 17, 2021- It’s amazing how well corporations have navigated a minefield littered with disease, shortages, and rising inflation. The ability to pivot quickly is the hallmark of good leadership.Read More

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  • November 17, 2025 – Last week saw massive rotation out of technology leaders into value stocks long forgotten in this year’s rally. Tech investors were spooked by a growing chorus of concerns around circular investing and stretched balance sheets. Some of the fears are real and some probably exaggerated. Given the strong performance over the last two years, some consolidation was clearly called for. Is the correction over? There certainly hasn’t been any panic or capitulation yet. If one looks closely, the big companies doing the best, experienced only modest declines in their stock prices. Those whose promises might have been exaggerated started to pay the price. That purge probably has more room to go.
  • November 13, 2025 – Markets are trading near record highs, buoyed by the end of the government shutdown and strong corporate earnings, yet this optimism is tempered by risks from a cautious Federal Reserve, a potential AI spending bubble, and an increasingly strained consumer. Given this disconnect between high valuations and mounting risks, a pullback should be expected, reinforcing the need for investors to remain diversified and focused on high-quality companies that can weather a downturn.
  • November 10, 2025 – Last week witnessed a pricking of the tech bubble as several high-profile names lost 10-30% of their value in one day based on iffy forward-looking outlooks. Simultaneously, last Tuesday’s election suggested broad dissatisfaction with the direction this country is heading. Wall Street tends to ignore elections but the combination of an expensive market and concerning forward-looking outlooks were not well received by a market trading near valuation extremes. There hasn’t been a correction of 3% or more since Liberation Day last April. Caveat emptor.
  • November 6, 2025 – Markets have been whipsawed this week due to concerns over stretched technology company valuations. US stocks tumbled on Tuesday as risk-off sentiment returned to financial markets, but rebounded yesterday on buy-the-dip sentiment. The majority of earnings reports for the third quarter have beaten expectations and the outlook is steady. The trick for investors remains in separating the underlying signal from the daily noise.
  • November 3, 2025 – The government shutdown makes a lot of headlines but has little long-term economic impact. Expect it to end shortly as public displeasure starts to boil over. For equity investors, the big focus last week was earnings reports from five big tech names. While they all grew their earnings, they didn’t raise the bar which is what’s necessary for further significant gains. Markets rarely decline without reason in Q4, but the bull run since April looks a bit extended in need for at least a temporary pause.
  • October 30, 2025 – The current economy is defined by a deep bifurcation, where a massive, AI-driven capital expenditure boom is fueling record tech profits and a rising stock market for the affluent, even as the lower-income consumer faces a severe affordability crisis marked by rising delinquencies and credit-market stress. This “Tale of Two Consumers” creates a precarious investment landscape, as the tech rally is dependent on a potentially circular and unsustainable spending cycle, while the deteriorating financial health of the broader consumer base presents a significant headwind to the real economy.
  • October 27, 2025 – With President Trump making news overseas, and Canada facing more tariffs, Wall Street will focus on the earnings of five big major tech companies this week. In the short-term, meaning between now and year-end, the prospect of continued solid earnings and lower short-term interest rates should keep stocks moving higher. But there are always warning signs. The biggie is debt. Too much debt burst the balloon in 1929 and again in 2008, the two biggest calamities of the last century. Debt levels aren’t quite threatening yet but they are moving in the wrong direction and bear watching.
  • October 23, 2025 – This is a significant week in Back to the Future movie lore. The famous time-travel movie of 1985 highlighted a trip back 30 years and also ahead 30 years. Predictions of future technology are notoriously off the mark, but the pace of technological innovation continues to drive economic growth today. Markets may be taking a breather from new highs recently, but corporate earnings reports have been generally positive, and the near-term future is not as bleak as once thought.
  • October 16, 2025 – The current surge in AI data center spending, estimated at $400 billion for 2025, creates immense financial pressure, as the annual depreciation costs alone significantly outpace projected industry revenues. Without exponential revenue growth to justify these expenditures, the AI sector risks repeating historical capital destruction cycles seen in previous technology bubbles.
  • October 9, 2025 – Tariffs were raised this year significantly, but corporate earnings have been coming through surprisingly strong. The U.S. Government shutdown enters its second week, though overall economic growth continues. Inflation has been stuck above the Fed’s preferred level of 2% and unemployment remains relatively low, although the Federal Reserve has embarked on an interest rate easing cycle. Stock markets around the globe have reached record highs, but so has the price of gold, a typically safe-haven investment. If it feels like an episode of the Twilight Zone, you are not alone.

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