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April 2023 Economic Update – The Banks, The Economy and Valuation

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

April 2023 Webinar - Banks, the Economy and Valuation

In this video, Tower Bridge Advisors’ Chief Investment Officer Jim Meyer discusses three key topics impacting investors – Banks, the Economy and Valuation. Please watch as Jim provides some perspective on these topics and gives investors some sense of how to position portfolios for what lies ahead.

April 2023 Economic Update – The Banks, The Economy and ValuationRead More

February 2022 Economic Update – The New Normal?

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

In this video, Jim Vogt, Co-Chief Investment Officer of Tower Bridge Advisors, discusses the outlook for the markets in the months ahead. Inflation and Fed tightening are front and center issues, but supply chain, corporate earnings and now the Russian invasion of Ukraine will have a major impact as well. What will the New Normal …

February 2022 Economic Update – The New Normal?Read More

December 2021 Economic Update – “2022 Outlook”

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

December Webinar - Economic Update

In this video, Tower Bridge Advisors’ Chief Investment Officer Jim Meyer discusses the economic outlook for 2022. There are many factors at play; The Fed, interest rates, COVID, supply chain disruption, inflation, etc. Jim sorts through the various issues and suggests how investors should approach portfolio management in the year ahead.  

December 2021 Economic Update – “2022 Outlook”Read More

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Latest News

  • June 7, 2023 – Stocks continue to march higher in defiance of market pundits’ forecasts for a looming economic downturn which most expect to begin this fall. Perhaps too many investors are defensively positioned, thereby making the path of least resistance higher for the time being.
  • June 5, 2023 – Last Friday’s unemployment market action surprised investors when the two employment surveys indicated opposite results. The more reliable of the two surveys, showed strong payroll employment, which could have sent the market worrying about the Fed’s reaction to the hot report. Instead, we saw a sharp rally and we suspect that there will be significantly more “soft landing” prognostications this week.
  • June 2, 2023 – Stocks traded higher yesterday following the passage of the Fiscal Responsibility Bill in the House as well as some dovish comments by a Fed Governor. Last night, the debt Bill was passed in a bi-partisan vote in the Senate. Now the Bill will go to President Biden to be signed, which will avert a much-feared debt default.
  • May 31, 2023 – Congress now has a week to pass the debt ceiling agreement. While there will be a lot of verbal whining and expressions of righteous indignation, the majority will pass a bill that is likely to have little long-term economic consequence. Once the bill is passed, attention will turn to the mid-June FOMC meeting and the increasing likelihood of yet another interest rate increase.
  • May 26, 2023 – Wednesday’s earnings announcement by Nvidia shocked markets with the speed at which generative AI is being adopted. Even regulators can’t slow it down. Every software developer now has to incorporate AI into everything. The race suddenly got a lot more heated. To win requires the fastest chips and the best software development tools. It is way too early to identify the best products that will evolve but markets yesterday were quick to identify those that have the best building blocks to get to the finish line.
  • May 24, 2023 – The latest version of the “Fast and Furious” movie series is off to a good start. But it doesn’t draw like it used too. We have seen this plot too many times. Sounds like a repeat of the debt ceiling crisis! We don’t know the exact ending but it is unlikely to be a bond default. That doesn’t mean a solution will be without consequences. Interest rates are starting to rise again and may continue after resolution as the Treasury floods the market with new bonds. This isn’t a great short-term backdrop for equities.
  • May 22, 2023 – As go debt ceiling negotiation talks, so goes the financial markets. So far, markets are sanguine, seeing the talks mostly as political theatrics. But that could change this week if no solution is in sight before we all leave for an extended Memorial Day weekend. Whether we leave Friday with a smile or a frown is anyone’s guess at the moment.
  • May 19, 2023 – As the debt ceiling concerns lessen, attention reverts back to earnings. Key retailers aren’t reporting stellar results but their stocks are taking weak guidance in stride, a sign much of the pending bad news is already discounted. That should put a floor underneath the stock market. At the same time, money keeps flowing toward the same technology names. Chasing momentum can be dangerous.
  • May 17, 2023 – Right now, stock and bond prices are slaves to the progress of efforts to extend the debt ceiling. Yesterday afternoon’s White House meeting was more productive than last week’s. Thus, futures are up this morning, but the job is far from done. An inevitable 11th hour moment lies ahead. Hopefully, a solution will emerge, but in this bifurcated Congress, risks of miscalculation are elevated.
  • May 15, 2023 – The debt ceiling approaches but markets don’t seem to care. Perhaps they are right, and a compromise solution is just around the corner. But while June 1 is only a bit over two weeks away, any compromise must pass Congress. That may not be a simple task. If no progress is apparent before Biden leaves for overseas, expect markets to start to show concern.

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