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Why TBA?
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April 3 , 2020 – A record breaking first quarter is in the books. Economic data will continue to collapse over the coming weeks. The virus data and gradual re-opening of businesses will be the main thing to focus on as investors look for a bottom and reposition their portfolios.
April 1, 2020 – Markets fell again yesterday to end the worst first quarter in stock market history. April and May data are both likely to be horrid. But markets have already priced in much of that. The key is whether the worst is priced in or not. Expect markets to churn over the next few weeks as we approach the apex of new Covid-19 cases. How we reemerge from our collective cocoons remains the unknown that markets still have to resolve.
March 30, 2020 – While the news over the weekend continued to scare us all, there was nothing that was unexpected. As a result, there is much less movement this morning in pre-market trading than has been the case the last few Mondays. Perhaps that suggests volatility will finally calm down. The market’s future direction over the next several weeks will be highly dependent on virus-related news, both from public health and economic standpoints.
March 27, 2020 – A quick bill from the Government, along with recent Fed actions has propelled one of the strongest three-day rallies ever. The mass liquidation phase may be over. However, earnings announcements and any increase in the spread of Covid-19 can halt the upside. Patience after these gains is warranted
March 25, 2020 – Markets soared yesterday as investors celebrated a pending aid package and hope that the economy can start to recover within the next month or so. Short covering accelerated moves to the upside. But when we open our doors and go back outside to assess the economic damage, we will see plenty of it. There is room for another 10-15% on the upside over the next few days or weeks. But when we see the extent of the economic damage, the road ahead will become a harder hill to climb.
March 23, 2020 – It was a historically bad week for equity investors, and there appears to be little let up in sight. The number of coronavirus cases escalated exponentially, cities and states locked down businesses, and Congress remains tied up in knots trying to come up with an aid solution to minimize the economic damage.
March 20, 2020 – The market action is slowly showing some signs of normalcy. A handful of stocks and sectors may have hit their bottoms. Massive global money printing is providing a floor. We are hopeful there will be some cure in the coming months as new data looks promising. We are not out of the woods yet though.
March 18, 2020 – Yesterday’s rally marked the sixth straight 1000-point move in the Dow. Today is shaping up as another very volatile session, once again to the downside. The rush to liquidity continues. Even the algorithmic traders are rushing to reduce positions as volatility continues to spike. That explains the decline in Treasury prices, and the attendant spike in yields contrary to what logic might say. The overriding fundamental questions of when will the virus end, and how will small businesses and their employees survive, remain unanswered. As resolution gets closer, markets will ultimately find a bottom.
March 16, 2020 – The bad news continues, and emotions border on panic as all non-essential activities go into lockdown mode. But valuations are becoming increasingly compelling. At emotional peaks, it is hard to call a bottom. Generally, we look for two up days in a row before we are willing to make that call. Central banks are providing liquidity, and Congress ultimately will be required to pass a TARP-like package to save certain industries from collapse. It will, especially in an election year. The darkest days may be upon us. That suggests a bottom may be near.
Special March 2020 Video – Market Volatility Related to Coronavirus

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101 West Elm Street, Suite 355
Conshohocken, PA 19428
Phone: 610.260.2200
Toll Free: 866.959.2200

Why Tower Bridge Advisors?
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Investment Process
Client Service
News & Resources
Market Commentary
Economic Updates
Contact