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November 2020 Economic Update: A New President and a Vaccine

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

With the election behind us, there is a bit more certainty about what a new administration would mean for the economy. In this video, Tower Bridge Advisors Chief Investment Officer Jim Meyer examines the potential impact of a Biden Presidency, combined with the upswing in COVID cases that threatens to negatively impact the economy again.

Additional information is available upon request.

# – This security is owned by the author of this report or accounts under his management at Tower Bridge Advisors.

Additional information on companies in this report is available on request. This report is not a complete analysis of every material fact representing company, industry or security mentioned herein. This firm or its officers, stockholders, employees and clients, in the normal course of business, may have or acquire a position including options, if any, in the securities mentioned. This communication shall not be deemed to constitute an offer, or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities. The information above has been obtained from sources believed reliable, but is not necessarily complete and is not guaranteed. This report is prepared for general information only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Opinions are subject to change without notice.

Filed Under: Economic Updates, Video Tagged With: COVID-19 impact on economy, Disruptive technology, Economic Lockdown, Economic Recovery, market outlook, Markets react to new administration, Stimulus Bill, Tower Bridge Advisors, wealth management

Previous Post: « November 9 , 2020 – Election certainty and news that Pfizer’s Covid-19 vaccine candidate is 90% effective have investors euphoric this morning. The vaccine news suggests that an end to the pandemic is in sight although it is still premature to throw away our masks. The key to the stock market next year however may not be earnings, which are certain to recover, but the path of interest rates.
Next Post: November 30, 2020 – It is hard to visualize Dow 30,000 against images of hundreds of cars lined up at food banks. President-elect Biden is filling out an economic team that will focus on those most in need. Wall Street, however, will stay focused on interest rates (they will stay low) and profits (they keep improving). The ideal would be more support for those in need without sacrificing gains made by Corporate America since the pandemic began. »

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  • February 26, 2021 – Markets suffered across the board yesterday as yields spiked around the globe. Inflation fears are taking hold for now. Higher rates lead to lower P/E’s. Your favorite growth stocks are finally getting cheaper. Picking winners from here isn’t as easy as it was last summer.
  • February 24, 2021 – Rising rates have led to market rotation. There are few signs this is ending anytime soon. In fact, as the pace of rate increases rises, the rotation is accelerating. Momentum investors got spanked yesterday morning. Relief came when Fed Chair Powell said rates will stay low for longer. But they won’t stay low forever. Valuations, in the end, always matter.
  • February 22, 2021 – The biggest factor this morning is the ongoing rise in 10-year bond yields. Higher yields mean lower P/Es for stocks. They impact growth stocks more than value names. As the economy recovers in a rising rate environment, watch for better relative performance from value sectors and a sharp headwind to excessive speculative activity.
  • February 17, 2021 – The steady rise in long rates is applying some pressure to valuation. But speculative fever, in a world where monetary and fiscal policy remain highly stimulative, continues to overwhelm corners of the market. Hence, stocks take a breather while Bitcoin continues to fly.
  • February 12, 2021 – Another slow day for the major averages with minimal change. However, under the surface there continues to be some wild action, this time in the cannabis area. Speculation is here but contained so far to a few select areas.
  • February 10, 2021 – The economy is gaining momentum as virus counts fade. While the media raises fears of new mutations, the facts are that the virus is fading, and life will continue to move back in the direction of normal. With money still pouring in from both the Fed and Congress, firepower for a further move up in the stock market remains in place. However, speculative fever is rising as well. Investors need to be watchful and separate true fundamental strength from fantasy.
  • February 8, 2021 – As the short squeeze fervor subsides, stocks once again focus on an improving economy. Congress is close to finalizing another large spending bill, only partly aimed as a pandemic response. Friday’s employment report showed that the economy is still not running on all cylinders. But too much money is feeding speculation in financial markets that most should find concerning.
  • February 5, 2021 – Markets are slowly getting back to what matters most, earnings. This past quarter was solid and expectations are ramping up for 2021. Post-Covid, the future is bright, but how much upside is left?
  • February 3, 2021 – The storyline yesterday was simple. The GameStop short squeeze saga faded, and investors (as opposed to speculators) celebrated. The market had one of its best days in months for all but the GameStop investors.
  • February 1, 2021 – The current short squeezes aren’t the problem, but rather, a symptom of the problem. The Fed keeps pumping $5+ billion of money every day into a market already saturated. More demand simply raises both prices and speculative fever. Whether it is the price of Peloton’s stock, Bitcoin, your favorite SPAC or GameStop, the bubbles will continue to emerge until central banks stop feeding them.

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