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December 2020 Economic Update – “2021 – Growth vs. Inflation”

//  by Tower Bridge Advisors

Heading into 2021, the big questions to be answered are whether companies can continue to grow revenues and earnings, and if the Fed can keep inflation in check and interest rates low. In this video, Tower Bridge Advisors Chief Investment Officer Jim Meyer discusses the path ahead in 2021 and the impact of growth and inflation on the stock market.

 

Additional information is available upon request.

# – This security is owned by the author of this report or accounts under his management at Tower Bridge Advisors.

Additional information on companies in this report is available on request. This report is not a complete analysis of every material fact representing company, industry or security mentioned herein. This firm or its officers, stockholders, employees and clients, in the normal course of business, may have or acquire a position including options, if any, in the securities mentioned. This communication shall not be deemed to constitute an offer, or solicitation on our part with respect to the sale or purchase of any securities. The information above has been obtained from sources believed reliable, but is not necessarily complete and is not guaranteed. This report is prepared for general information only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. Opinions are subject to change without notice.

Filed Under: Economic Updates, Video Tagged With: Economic Growth, Growth versus Inflation, market outlook, Private Wealth Management, Stock Market Optimism, Tower Bridge Advisors, wealth management

Previous Post: « December 21, 2020 – When stocks decline on apparent good news, that’s a sign to pay attention. Last week, the Fed stayed very dovish and said rates would stay ultra-low as far ahead as one could see. Over the weekend, Congress agreed on an additional $900 billion in stimulus relief. But markets appear headed sharply lower this morning. A new viral strain is given as the reason but “sell on the news” might be a better explanation.
Next Post: December 28, 2020 – With the signing of the spending and Covid-19 relief bill now complete, this should be a quiet week, void of much in the way of news, barring a shock from out of the blue. While the benefits of the relief bill won’t be reflected in December data that we will see next week, the direction of least resistance remains higher. »

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  • January 15, 2021 – Cyclicals powered higher yesterday, led again by Energy stocks. Big-cap tech continues to underwhelm in the near-term, digesting massive gains seen over the past several years. Today, stocks digest Joe Biden’s American Rescue Plan and a slew of bank earnings.
  • January 13, 2021 – The stock market is set up for a collision of rising earnings and rising interest rates. The latter, if they occur, will reflect higher inflation expectations. While the Fed is doing what it can to seed inflation, so far it is muted. For four decades, waiting for inflation has been akin to waiting for Godot. We will see if this time is different.
  • January 11, 2021 – Despite the historic events of last week, stocks continued to rise. Earnings and interest rates, not political theatre, are the driver of stock prices. The outlook continues to be favorable as long as real rates remain distinctly negative.
  • January 8, 2021 – New all-time highs everywhere. A new richest man in the world. Interest rates and banks finally breaking out. Crypto is running like a freight train. More IPO’s are coming. Is this 1996 or 1999?
  • January 6, 2021 – While the Georgia election results are not final, they will probably lead to a flip in Senate leadership to the Democrats. While some fear huge tax increases, a 50-50 split makes that highly unlikely. If anything gets done, it will be accomplished by a centrist coalition, not via strict party-line votes. In the meantime, rising yields align with optimism that the economy can accelerate as well as a rotation toward cyclicals in the stock market.
  • January 4, 2021 -A waning virus, together with an improving economy, set a good backdrop early in 2021. The risks are that investors become too euphoric or that inflation arrives sooner rather than later. The former is always a concern. The latter is unlikely to be evident for at least several more months, if not years.
  • December 30, 2020 – As 2020 winds down, next year’s outlook is all about where inflation expectations will be a year from now. With a one-year time horizon, it is harder to predict rates than earnings. I assume the pandemic is a bad memory by then. Imbalances in supply and demand need to be sorted out. How that happens will dictate rates and how the stock market will perform in 2021.
  • December 28, 2020 – With the signing of the spending and Covid-19 relief bill now complete, this should be a quiet week, void of much in the way of news, barring a shock from out of the blue. While the benefits of the relief bill won’t be reflected in December data that we will see next week, the direction of least resistance remains higher.
  • December 2020 Economic Update – “2021 – Growth vs. Inflation”
  • December 21, 2020 – When stocks decline on apparent good news, that’s a sign to pay attention. Last week, the Fed stayed very dovish and said rates would stay ultra-low as far ahead as one could see. Over the weekend, Congress agreed on an additional $900 billion in stimulus relief. But markets appear headed sharply lower this morning. A new viral strain is given as the reason but “sell on the news” might be a better explanation.

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